Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 2.390155 2.766598 3.191605 3.708670 4.323000 5.032318 5.917302
2025-02-16 1.830242 2.320983 2.935839 3.770287 4.884710 6.337969 8.403181
2025-02-23 1.541748 2.075867 2.792961 3.841127 5.359393 7.518233 10.892330
2025-03-02 1.315050 1.854752 2.619523 3.805197 5.638955 8.438496 13.177569
2025-03-09 1.172427 1.721113 2.535907 3.866327 6.047829 9.599803 16.072294
2025-03-16 1.038574 1.577066 2.409218 3.829922 6.281132 10.505731 18.730235
2025-03-23 0.934293 1.462346 2.308162 3.811949 6.530865 11.471558 21.710787
2025-03-30 0.837767 1.346596 2.187809 3.738382 6.662407 12.237791 24.478367
2025-04-06 0.778688 1.284863 2.148308 3.798269 7.044571 13.545607 28.694910
2025-04-13 0.705395 1.189909 2.038590 3.710969 7.123714 14.255737 31.771242
2025-04-20 0.673652 1.164026 2.048230 3.850665 7.681186 16.078939 37.972885
2025-04-27 0.624988 1.101992 1.983378 3.832586 7.901671 17.200088 42.747054
2025-05-04 0.586778 1.062026 1.968504 3.943456 8.493654 19.483349 51.899589
2025-05-11 0.544122 1.010167 1.927093 4.000437 9.000956 21.771197 62.283804
2025-05-18 0.508817 0.967671 1.897532 4.076594 9.570839 24.392943 74.965322
2025-05-25 0.467720 0.908208 1.824008 4.038139 9.843787 26.291002 86.235227
2025-06-01 0.439859 0.872585 1.796372 4.103542 10.407177 29.217266 102.832212
2025-06-08 0.407258 0.823000 1.731150 4.064591 10.675477 31.337264 117.584224
2025-06-15 0.379576 0.780902 1.677316 4.045363 10.998152 33.752567 135.122969
2025-06-22 0.350974 0.733628 1.605484 3.966666 11.126679 35.565143 151.202927
2025-06-29 0.333784 0.710246 1.587381 4.030728 11.717820 39.257582 179.093833
2025-07-06 0.309331 0.667548 1.517094 3.937344 11.780363 41.004727 198.266316
2025-07-13 0.299835 0.658938 1.530374 4.086785 12.699413 46.509783 243.268615